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Published in: International Orthopaedics 11/2011

01-11-2011 | Original Paper

Arthroplasty versus arthrodesis for end-stage ankle arthritis: decision analysis using Markov model

Authors: Dae Gyu Kwon, Chin Youb Chung, Moon Seok Park, Ki Hyuk Sung, Tae Won Kim, Kyoung Min Lee

Published in: International Orthopaedics | Issue 11/2011

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Abstract

Background

Total ankle arthroplasty and arthrodesis are the two mainstreams of treatment for end-stage ankle arthritis. This study was performed to determine which is a better choice for ankle arthritis, using a decision analysis and Markov model to reflect the repetitive nature of revision arthroplasty.

Methods

Based on current published evidence, a decision tree was constructed to compare the clinical outcomes of total ankle arthroplasty and arthrodesis, which contained the possible clinical events and the probabilities. Total ankle arthroplasty was subject to revision arthroplasty, and a Markov model was adopted for this branch to reflect this repetitive trait of the procedure. Arthrodesis could cause adjacent arthritis, and a conventional decision analysis model was adopted for this branch. Quality well-being index score was used for clinical outcome assessment, which was the utility in the decision tree. Sensitivity analysis was performed to test the stability of the decision tree and the threshold values.

Results

The model favoured total ankle arthroplasty over arthrodesis in terms of quality well-being index score. Sensitivity analysis showed that the model was considerably stable, unaffected by the changes in probabilities of failure after total ankle arthroplasty and adjacent arthritis after arthrodesis.

Conclusions

Based on current evidence, total ankle arthroplasty was found to be a better treatment than arthrodesis for ankle arthritis. Future development in the implant materials, improved understanding of ankle biomechanics, and surgical techniques will further enhance the clinical outcome of total ankle arthroplasty.
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Metadata
Title
Arthroplasty versus arthrodesis for end-stage ankle arthritis: decision analysis using Markov model
Authors
Dae Gyu Kwon
Chin Youb Chung
Moon Seok Park
Ki Hyuk Sung
Tae Won Kim
Kyoung Min Lee
Publication date
01-11-2011
Publisher
Springer-Verlag
Published in
International Orthopaedics / Issue 11/2011
Print ISSN: 0341-2695
Electronic ISSN: 1432-5195
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/s00264-011-1336-1

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