Published in:
01-03-2006 | Brief Report
Procalcitonin kinetics in the prognosis of severe community-acquired pneumonia
Authors:
Nicolas Boussekey, Olivier Leroy, Serge Alfandari, Patrick Devos, Hugues Georges, Benoit Guery
Published in:
Intensive Care Medicine
|
Issue 3/2006
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Abstract
Objectives
Procalcitonin (PCT) kinetics is a good prognosis marker in infectious diseases, but few studies of community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) have been performed in intensive care units (ICU). We analyzed the relationship between PCT kinetics and outcome in ICU patients with severe CAP.
Design and setting
Prospective observational study in a 16-bed university hospital ICU.
Patients
100 critically ill patients with community-acquired pneumonia.
Measurements and results
Median PCT was 5.2 ng/ml on day 1 and 2.9 ng/ml on day 3. It increased from day 1 to day 3 in nonsurvivors but decreased in survivors. In multivariate analysis four variables were associated with death: invasive ventilation (odds ratio 10−), multilobar involvement (5.6−), LOD score (6.9−), and PCT increase from day 1 to day 3 (4.5−). In intubated patients with a PCT level below 0.95 ng/ml on day 3 the survival rate was 95%.
Conclusion
Increased PCT from day 1 to day 3 in severe CAP is a poor prognosis factor. A PCT level less than 0.95 ng/ml on day 3 in intubated patients is associated with a favorable outcome.