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International Journal of Public Health

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01-08-2010 | Original Article

San Antonio heart study diabetes prediction model applicable to a Middle Eastern population? Tehran glucose and lipid study

Authors: Mohammadreza Bozorgmanesh, Farzad Hadaegh, Azadeh Zabetian, Fereidoun Azizi

Published in: International Journal of Public Health | Issue 4/2010

Abstract

Objectives

To assess the validity of the San Antonio heart study (SAHS) diabetes prediction model in a large representative Iranian population.

Methods

A risk function derived from data in the SAHS to predict the 7.5-year risk of diabetes, was tested for its ability to predict incident diabetes in 3,242 individuals aged ≥20 years. The performance or ability to accurately predict diabetes risk, of the SAHS function compared with the performance of risk functions developed specifically from the Tehran lipid and glucose study. Comparisons included goodness of fit, discrimination, and calibration.

Results

The participants were followed for 6.3 years. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AROC) for diabetes of SAHS model was 0.83 (95% CI 0.80–0.86). The model overestimated the risk of diabetes in TLGS population with the overall bias of 111%. After the recalibration, the model-predicted probability agreed well with the actual observed 6-year risk of diabetes.

Discussion and conclusion

The American SAHS was a prediction model for diabetes with good discrimination in an Iranian target population after calibration.

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Title: San Antonio heart study diabetes prediction model applicable to a Middle Eastern population? Tehran glucose and lipid study
Authors: Mohammadreza Bozorgmanesh
Farzad Hadaegh
Azadeh Zabetian
Fereidoun Azizi
Publication date: 01-08-2010
Publisher: SP Birkhäuser Verlag Basel
Published in: International Journal of Public Health / Issue 4/2010
Print ISSN: 1661-8556
Electronic ISSN: 1661-8564
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00038-010-0130-y

Keynote webinar | Spotlight on medication adherence

Springer Medicine

San Antonio heart study diabetes prediction model applicable to a Middle Eastern population? Tehran glucose and lipid study

Abstract

Objectives

Methods

Results

Discussion and conclusion

Keynote webinar | Spotlight on medication adherence

Springer Medicine

Abstract

Objectives

Methods

Results

Discussion and conclusion

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