Skip to main content
Top
Published in: European Child & Adolescent Psychiatry 7/2008

01-10-2008 | ORIGINAL CONTRIBUTION

Do larger studies find smaller effects? The example of studies for the prevention of conduct disorder

Authors: Brid McMahon, Louise Holly, Richard Harrington, Chris Roberts, Jonathan Green

Published in: European Child & Adolescent Psychiatry | Issue 7/2008

Login to get access

Abstract

Introduction

There is some emerging evidence in medicine that larger clinical trials tend to be associated with smaller effect sizes. Much of the evidence-base currently informing practice in Child Psychiatry relies on relatively small trials. We therefore investigated the relationship between trial size and effect size in research within a key area of child mental health.

Method

A recent systematic review of 20 trials of prevention of conduct disorder was subjected to meta-regression, to examine the relationship between study size and effect size, and to explore hypothesised confounding variables.

Results

In this sample of studies, reported effect size was inversely related to sample size. This effect is not explained by year of publication, intervention type or quality of methodology in the study.

Discussion

Our finding is consistent with other reports in the literature. The origin of this effect is not yet clear. However if replicated it clearly has significant implications for the way trials in child mental health are interpreted.
Literature
1.
go back to reference Bierman K, Miller C, Stabb SD (1987) Improving the social behaviour and peer acceptance of rejected boys: effects of social skill training with instructions and prohibitions. J Consult Clin Psychol 55:194–200PubMedCrossRef Bierman K, Miller C, Stabb SD (1987) Improving the social behaviour and peer acceptance of rejected boys: effects of social skill training with instructions and prohibitions. J Consult Clin Psychol 55:194–200PubMedCrossRef
2.
go back to reference Cartwright-Hatton S, Roberts C, Chitsabesan P, Fothergill C, Harrington H (2004) Systematic review of the efficacy of cognitive behavioural therapies for childhood and adolescent anxiety disorders. Br J Clin Psychol 43:421–436 PubMedCrossRef Cartwright-Hatton S, Roberts C, Chitsabesan P, Fothergill C, Harrington H (2004) Systematic review of the efficacy of cognitive behavioural therapies for childhood and adolescent anxiety disorders. Br J Clin Psychol 43:421–436 PubMedCrossRef
3.
go back to reference Clarke SH, Campbell FA (1998) Can intervention early help prevent crime later—the abecedarian project compared to other programmes. Early Child Res Q 13:319–343CrossRef Clarke SH, Campbell FA (1998) Can intervention early help prevent crime later—the abecedarian project compared to other programmes. Early Child Res Q 13:319–343CrossRef
4.
go back to reference Conduct Problems Prevention Research Group (1999) Initial impact of the fast track prevention trial for conduct problems: II. Classroom effects. J Consult Clin Psychol 67:648–657 CrossRef Conduct Problems Prevention Research Group (1999) Initial impact of the fast track prevention trial for conduct problems: II. Classroom effects. J Consult Clin Psychol 67:648–657 CrossRef
5.
go back to reference Dolan LJ, Sheppard G, Hendricks Brown C, Werthamer-Larsson L, Rebok GW, Mayer LS, Lauldoff J, Turkkan JS, Ford C, Wheeler L (1993) The short-term impact of school based preventive interventions on aggressive and shy behaviours and poor achievement. J Appl Dev Psychol 14:317–345CrossRef Dolan LJ, Sheppard G, Hendricks Brown C, Werthamer-Larsson L, Rebok GW, Mayer LS, Lauldoff J, Turkkan JS, Ford C, Wheeler L (1993) The short-term impact of school based preventive interventions on aggressive and shy behaviours and poor achievement. J Appl Dev Psychol 14:317–345CrossRef
6.
7.
go back to reference The Government Spending Review (2001–2004). Cross departmental review of children at risk (chap 25:25.1–25.7) H M Government The Government Spending Review (2001–2004). Cross departmental review of children at risk (chap 25:25.1–25.7) H M Government
8.
go back to reference Hawkins JD, Catalano RF, Kosterman R, Abbott R, Hill KG (1999) Preventing adolescent health risk behaviours by strengthening protection during childhood. Arch Paediatr Adoles Med 153:226–234 Hawkins JD, Catalano RF, Kosterman R, Abbott R, Hill KG (1999) Preventing adolescent health risk behaviours by strengthening protection during childhood. Arch Paediatr Adoles Med 153:226–234
9.
go back to reference Hundert J, Boyle MH, Cunningham CE, Duku E, Heale J, McDonald J, Offord DR, Racine Y (1999) Helping children adjust-a Tri-Ministry STUDY: II. Program effects. J Child Psychol Psychiatry 40:1061–1073PubMedCrossRef Hundert J, Boyle MH, Cunningham CE, Duku E, Heale J, McDonald J, Offord DR, Racine Y (1999) Helping children adjust-a Tri-Ministry STUDY: II. Program effects. J Child Psychol Psychiatry 40:1061–1073PubMedCrossRef
10.
go back to reference Johnson DL, Walker T (1987) Primary prevention of behaviour problems in Mexican-American children. Am J Commun Psychol 15:375–385CrossRef Johnson DL, Walker T (1987) Primary prevention of behaviour problems in Mexican-American children. Am J Commun Psychol 15:375–385CrossRef
11.
go back to reference Kellam S, Rebok GW, Ialongo N, Meyer LS (1994) The course and malleability of aggressive behaviour from early first grade into middle school: results of a developmental epidemiologically-based preventive trial. J Child Psychol Psychiatry 35:259–281PubMedCrossRef Kellam S, Rebok GW, Ialongo N, Meyer LS (1994) The course and malleability of aggressive behaviour from early first grade into middle school: results of a developmental epidemiologically-based preventive trial. J Child Psychol Psychiatry 35:259–281PubMedCrossRef
12.
go back to reference Kolvin I, Garside RF, Nicol AR, Macmillan A, Wolstenholme F, Muir Leitch I (1986) Help starts here. Tavistock, New York Kolvin I, Garside RF, Nicol AR, Macmillan A, Wolstenholme F, Muir Leitch I (1986) Help starts here. Tavistock, New York
13.
go back to reference Lally JR, Mangione PL, Honig AS (1988) The Syracuse university family development research program: long range impact of an early intervention with low income children and their families. In: Powell DR (ed) Advances in applied developmental psychology: parent education as early childhood intervention: emerging directions in theory, research, and practice. Ablex Publishing, Norwood, pp 79–104 Lally JR, Mangione PL, Honig AS (1988) The Syracuse university family development research program: long range impact of an early intervention with low income children and their families. In: Powell DR (ed) Advances in applied developmental psychology: parent education as early childhood intervention: emerging directions in theory, research, and practice. Ablex Publishing, Norwood, pp 79–104
14.
go back to reference Le Marquand D, Tremblay RE, Vitaro F (1999) The prevention of conduct disorder: a review of successful and unsuccessful experiments. In: Hill J, Maughan B (eds) Conduct disorders in child and adolescence. Cambridge University Press, London, pp 449–477 Le Marquand D, Tremblay RE, Vitaro F (1999) The prevention of conduct disorder: a review of successful and unsuccessful experiments. In: Hill J, Maughan B (eds) Conduct disorders in child and adolescence. Cambridge University Press, London, pp 449–477
15.
go back to reference Lochman JE (1992) Cognitive-behavioural intervention with aggressive boys: three year follow up and preventive effects. J Consult Clin Psychol 60:426–432PubMedCrossRef Lochman JE (1992) Cognitive-behavioural intervention with aggressive boys: three year follow up and preventive effects. J Consult Clin Psychol 60:426–432PubMedCrossRef
16.
go back to reference Lochman JE, Coie JD, Underwood MK, Terry R (1993) Effectiveness of a social relations intervention program for aggressive and non-aggressive, rejected children. J Consult Clin Psychol 61(6):1053–1058PubMedCrossRef Lochman JE, Coie JD, Underwood MK, Terry R (1993) Effectiveness of a social relations intervention program for aggressive and non-aggressive, rejected children. J Consult Clin Psychol 61(6):1053–1058PubMedCrossRef
17.
go back to reference McCarton CM, Brooks-Gunn J, Wallace IF, Bauer CR, Bennett FC, Bernbaum JC, Broyles RS, Casey PH, McCormick MC, Scott DT, Tyson J, Tonascia J, Meinert CL (1997) Results at age 8 years of early intervention for low-birth weight-premature infants. The infant health and development program. J Am Med Assoc 277:126–132CrossRef McCarton CM, Brooks-Gunn J, Wallace IF, Bauer CR, Bennett FC, Bernbaum JC, Broyles RS, Casey PH, McCormick MC, Scott DT, Tyson J, Tonascia J, Meinert CL (1997) Results at age 8 years of early intervention for low-birth weight-premature infants. The infant health and development program. J Am Med Assoc 277:126–132CrossRef
19.
go back to reference McCord J (1992) The Cambridge–Somerville study: a pioneering longitudinal experimental study of delinquency prevention. In: McCord J, Tremblay RE (eds) Preventing antisocial behaviour: interventions from birth through adolescence. Guilford Press, New York, pp 196–206 McCord J (1992) The Cambridge–Somerville study: a pioneering longitudinal experimental study of delinquency prevention. In: McCord J, Tremblay RE (eds) Preventing antisocial behaviour: interventions from birth through adolescence. Guilford Press, New York, pp 196–206
20.
go back to reference Olds DL, Eckenrode J, Henderson CR Jr, Kitzman H, Powers J, Cole R, Sidora K, Morris P, Pettitt LM, Luckey D (1997) Long-term effects of home visitation on maternal life course and child abuse and neglect. J Am Med Assoc 278:637–643CrossRef Olds DL, Eckenrode J, Henderson CR Jr, Kitzman H, Powers J, Cole R, Sidora K, Morris P, Pettitt LM, Luckey D (1997) Long-term effects of home visitation on maternal life course and child abuse and neglect. J Am Med Assoc 278:637–643CrossRef
21.
go back to reference Olds DL, Henderson CR Jr, Cole R, Eckenrode J, Kitzman H, Luckey D, Pettitt L, Sidora K, Morris P, Powers J (1998) Long-term effects of nurse home visitation on children’s criminal and antisocial behaviour: 15 year follow up of a randomised control trial. J Am Med Assoc 2:637–643 Olds DL, Henderson CR Jr, Cole R, Eckenrode J, Kitzman H, Luckey D, Pettitt L, Sidora K, Morris P, Powers J (1998) Long-term effects of nurse home visitation on children’s criminal and antisocial behaviour: 15 year follow up of a randomised control trial. J Am Med Assoc 2:637–643
22.
go back to reference Schweinhart LL, Barnes HV, Weikart DP (1993) Significant benefits. The high/scope Perry school study through age 27. High/Scope Press, Ypsilanti Schweinhart LL, Barnes HV, Weikart DP (1993) Significant benefits. The high/scope Perry school study through age 27. High/Scope Press, Ypsilanti
23.
go back to reference Schweinhart LL, Weikart DP (1997) Lasting differences: the high/scope preschool curriculum Study through age 23. High/Scope Press, Ypsilanti Schweinhart LL, Weikart DP (1997) Lasting differences: the high/scope preschool curriculum Study through age 23. High/Scope Press, Ypsilanti
24.
go back to reference Seitz V, Rosenbaum LK, Apfel H (1985) Effects of family support intervention: a ten year follow up. Child Dev 56:376–391PubMedCrossRef Seitz V, Rosenbaum LK, Apfel H (1985) Effects of family support intervention: a ten year follow up. Child Dev 56:376–391PubMedCrossRef
25.
go back to reference STATA Release 9 in College Station Texas USA: STATA Statistical Software, STATA Corp: 2005 STATA Release 9 in College Station Texas USA: STATA Statistical Software, STATA Corp: 2005
26.
go back to reference Stone WL, Bendell RD, Field TM (1988) The impact of socio-economic status on teenage mothers and children who received early intervention. J Appl Dev Psychol 9:391–408CrossRef Stone WL, Bendell RD, Field TM (1988) The impact of socio-economic status on teenage mothers and children who received early intervention. J Appl Dev Psychol 9:391–408CrossRef
27.
go back to reference Strayhorn JM, Weidman C (1991) Follow up one year after parent-child interaction training: effects on behaviour of preschool children. J Am Acad Child Adoles Psychiatry 30:138–143CrossRef Strayhorn JM, Weidman C (1991) Follow up one year after parent-child interaction training: effects on behaviour of preschool children. J Am Acad Child Adoles Psychiatry 30:138–143CrossRef
28.
go back to reference Szapacznik J, Rio A, Murray E, Cohen R, Scopetta M, Rivas-Vazquez A, Hervis O, Posada V, Kurtines W (1989) Structural family versus psychodynamic child therapy for problematic Hispanic boys. J Consult Clin Psychol 57:571–578CrossRef Szapacznik J, Rio A, Murray E, Cohen R, Scopetta M, Rivas-Vazquez A, Hervis O, Posada V, Kurtines W (1989) Structural family versus psychodynamic child therapy for problematic Hispanic boys. J Consult Clin Psychol 57:571–578CrossRef
29.
go back to reference Tremblay RE, Kurtz L, Masse LC, Vitaro F, Pihl RO (1995) A bimodal preventive intervention for disruptive kindergarten boys: its impact through mid-adolescence. J Consult Clin Psychol 63:560–568PubMedCrossRef Tremblay RE, Kurtz L, Masse LC, Vitaro F, Pihl RO (1995) A bimodal preventive intervention for disruptive kindergarten boys: its impact through mid-adolescence. J Consult Clin Psychol 63:560–568PubMedCrossRef
30.
go back to reference Webster Stratton C (1998) Preventing conduct problems in head start children: strengthening parenting competencies. J Consult Clin Psychol 66:715–730PubMedCrossRef Webster Stratton C (1998) Preventing conduct problems in head start children: strengthening parenting competencies. J Consult Clin Psychol 66:715–730PubMedCrossRef
Metadata
Title
Do larger studies find smaller effects? The example of studies for the prevention of conduct disorder
Authors
Brid McMahon
Louise Holly
Richard Harrington
Chris Roberts
Jonathan Green
Publication date
01-10-2008
Publisher
D. Steinkopff-Verlag
Published in
European Child & Adolescent Psychiatry / Issue 7/2008
Print ISSN: 1018-8827
Electronic ISSN: 1435-165X
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/s00787-008-0685-9

Other articles of this Issue 7/2008

European Child & Adolescent Psychiatry 7/2008 Go to the issue