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Published in: European Spine Journal 11/2023

06-02-2023 | Original Article

Deep learning-based prediction model for postoperative complications of cervical posterior longitudinal ligament ossification

Authors: Sadayuki Ito, Hiroaki Nakashima, Toshitaka Yoshii, Satoru Egawa, Kenichiro Sakai, Kazuo Kusano, Shinji Tsutui, Takashi Hirai, Yu Matsukura, Kanichiro Wada, Keiichi Katsumi, Masao Koda, Atsushi Kimura, Takeo Furuya, Satoshi Maki, Narihito Nagoshi, Norihiro Nishida, Yukitaka Nagamoto, Yasushi Oshima, Kei Ando, Masahiko Takahata, Kanji Mori, Hideaki Nakajima, Kazuma Murata, Masayuki Miyagi, Takashi Kaito, Kei Yamada, Tomohiro Banno, Satoshi Kato, Tetsuro Ohba, Satoshi Inami, Shunsuke Fujibayashi, Hiroyuki Katoh, Haruo Kanno, Masahiro Oda, Kensaku Mori, Hiroshi Taneichi, Yoshiharu Kawaguchi, Katsushi Takeshita, Morio Matsumoto, Masashi Yamazaki, Atsushi Okawa, Shiro Imagama

Published in: European Spine Journal | Issue 11/2023

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Abstract

Purpose

Postoperative complication prediction helps surgeons to inform and manage patient expectations. Deep learning, a model that finds patterns in large samples of data, outperform traditional statistical methods in making predictions. This study aimed to create a deep learning-based model (DLM) to predict postoperative complications in patients with cervical ossification of the posterior longitudinal ligament (OPLL).

Methods

This prospective multicenter study was conducted by the 28 institutions, and 478 patients were included in the analysis. Deep learning was used to create two predictive models of the overall postoperative complications and neurological complications, one of the major complications. These models were constructed by learning the patient's preoperative background, clinical symptoms, surgical procedures, and imaging findings. These logistic regression models were also created, and these accuracies were compared with those of the DLM.

Results

Overall complications were observed in 127 cases (26.6%). The accuracy of the DLM was 74.6 ± 3.7% for predicting the overall occurrence of complications, which was comparable to that of the logistic regression (74.1%). Neurological complications were observed in 48 cases (10.0%), and the accuracy of the DLM was 91.7 ± 3.5%, which was higher than that of the logistic regression (90.1%).

Conclusion

A new algorithm using deep learning was able to predict complications after cervical OPLL surgery. This model was well calibrated, with prediction accuracy comparable to that of regression models. The accuracy remained high even for predicting only neurological complications, for which the case number is limited compared to conventional statistical methods.
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Metadata
Title
Deep learning-based prediction model for postoperative complications of cervical posterior longitudinal ligament ossification
Authors
Sadayuki Ito
Hiroaki Nakashima
Toshitaka Yoshii
Satoru Egawa
Kenichiro Sakai
Kazuo Kusano
Shinji Tsutui
Takashi Hirai
Yu Matsukura
Kanichiro Wada
Keiichi Katsumi
Masao Koda
Atsushi Kimura
Takeo Furuya
Satoshi Maki
Narihito Nagoshi
Norihiro Nishida
Yukitaka Nagamoto
Yasushi Oshima
Kei Ando
Masahiko Takahata
Kanji Mori
Hideaki Nakajima
Kazuma Murata
Masayuki Miyagi
Takashi Kaito
Kei Yamada
Tomohiro Banno
Satoshi Kato
Tetsuro Ohba
Satoshi Inami
Shunsuke Fujibayashi
Hiroyuki Katoh
Haruo Kanno
Masahiro Oda
Kensaku Mori
Hiroshi Taneichi
Yoshiharu Kawaguchi
Katsushi Takeshita
Morio Matsumoto
Masashi Yamazaki
Atsushi Okawa
Shiro Imagama
Publication date
06-02-2023
Publisher
Springer Berlin Heidelberg
Published in
European Spine Journal / Issue 11/2023
Print ISSN: 0940-6719
Electronic ISSN: 1432-0932
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/s00586-023-07562-2

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