Skip to main content
Top
Published in: BMC Medicine 1/2022

Open Access 01-12-2022 | Acute Kidney Injury | Research article

Patient outcomes following AKI and AKD: a population-based cohort study

Authors: Huan Wang, Emilie Lambourg, Bruce Guthrie, Daniel R. Morales, Peter T. Donnan, Samira Bell

Published in: BMC Medicine | Issue 1/2022

Login to get access

Abstract

Background

Acute kidney injury (AKI) is common and associated with adverse outcomes as well as important healthcare costs. However, evidence examining the epidemiology of acute kidney disease (AKD)—recently defined as AKI persisting between 7 and 90 days—remains limited. The aims of this study were to establish the rates of early AKI recovery, progression to AKD and non-recovery; examine risk factors associated with non-recovery and investigate the association between recovery timing and adverse outcomes, in a population-based cohort.

Methods

All adult residents of Tayside & Fife, Scotland, UK, with at least one episode of community or hospital-managed AKI using KDIGO creatinine-based definition during the period 1 January 2010 to 31 December 2018 were identified. Logistic regression was used to examine factors associated with non-recovery, and Cox modelling was used to establish associations between AKI recovery timing and risks of mortality and development of de novo CKD.

Results

Over 9 years, 56,906 patients with at least one AKI episode were identified with 18,773 (33%) of these progressing to AKD. Of those progressing to AKD, 5059 (27%) had still not recovered at day 90 post AKI diagnosis. Risk factors for AKD included: increasing AKI severity, pre-existing cancer or chronic heart failure and recent use of loop diuretics. Compared with early AKI recovery, progression to AKD was associated with increased hazard of 1-year mortality and de novo CKD (HR = 1.20, 95% CI 1.13 to 1.26 and HR = 2.21, 95% CI 1.91 to 2.57 respectively).

Conclusions

These findings highlight the importance of early AKI recognition and management to avoid progression to AKD and long-term adverse outcomes.
Appendix
Available only for authorised users
Literature
1.
go back to reference Mehta RL, Cerda J, Burdmann EA, Tonelli M, Garcia-Garcia G, Jha V, et al. International Society of Nephrology’s 0by25 initiative for acute kidney injury (zero preventable deaths by 2025): a human rights case for nephrology. Lancet. 2015;385(9987):2616–43.CrossRef Mehta RL, Cerda J, Burdmann EA, Tonelli M, Garcia-Garcia G, Jha V, et al. International Society of Nephrology’s 0by25 initiative for acute kidney injury (zero preventable deaths by 2025): a human rights case for nephrology. Lancet. 2015;385(9987):2616–43.CrossRef
2.
go back to reference Lewington AJ, Cerda J, Mehta RL. Raising awareness of acute kidney injury: a global perspective of a silent killer. Kidney Int. 2013;84(3):457–67.CrossRef Lewington AJ, Cerda J, Mehta RL. Raising awareness of acute kidney injury: a global perspective of a silent killer. Kidney Int. 2013;84(3):457–67.CrossRef
3.
go back to reference Hsu CY, McCulloch CE, Fan D, Ordonez JD, Chertow GM, Go AS. Community-based incidence of acute renal failure. Kidney Int. 2007;72(2):208–12.CrossRef Hsu CY, McCulloch CE, Fan D, Ordonez JD, Chertow GM, Go AS. Community-based incidence of acute renal failure. Kidney Int. 2007;72(2):208–12.CrossRef
4.
go back to reference Rubin S, Orieux A, Clouzeau B, Rigothier C, Combe C, Gruson D, et al. The incidence of chronic kidney disease three years after non-severe acute kidney injury in critically ill patients: a single-center cohort study. J Clin Med. 2019;8(12):2215. https://doi.org/10.3390/jcm8122215. Rubin S, Orieux A, Clouzeau B, Rigothier C, Combe C, Gruson D, et al. The incidence of chronic kidney disease three years after non-severe acute kidney injury in critically ill patients: a single-center cohort study. J Clin Med. 2019;8(12):2215. https://​doi.​org/​10.​3390/​jcm8122215.
5.
go back to reference Coca SG, Singanamala S, Parikh CR. Chronic kidney disease after acute kidney injury: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Kidney Int. 2012;81(5):442–8.CrossRef Coca SG, Singanamala S, Parikh CR. Chronic kidney disease after acute kidney injury: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Kidney Int. 2012;81(5):442–8.CrossRef
6.
go back to reference Chawla LS, Amdur RL, Shaw AD, Faselis C, Palant CE, Kimmel PL. Association between AKI and long-term renal and cardiovascular outcomes in United States veterans. Clin J Am Soc Nephrol. 2014;9(3):448–56.CrossRef Chawla LS, Amdur RL, Shaw AD, Faselis C, Palant CE, Kimmel PL. Association between AKI and long-term renal and cardiovascular outcomes in United States veterans. Clin J Am Soc Nephrol. 2014;9(3):448–56.CrossRef
7.
go back to reference Omotoso BA, Abdel-Rahman EM, Xin W, Ma JZ, Scully KW, Arogundade FA, et al. Acute kidney injury (AKI) outcome, a predictor of long-term major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE). Clin Nephrol. 2016;85(1):1–11.CrossRef Omotoso BA, Abdel-Rahman EM, Xin W, Ma JZ, Scully KW, Arogundade FA, et al. Acute kidney injury (AKI) outcome, a predictor of long-term major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE). Clin Nephrol. 2016;85(1):1–11.CrossRef
8.
go back to reference Coca SG, Yusuf B, Shlipak MG, Garg AX, Parikh CR. Long-term risk of mortality and other adverse outcomes after acute kidney injury: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Am J Kidney Dis. 2009;53(6):961–73.CrossRef Coca SG, Yusuf B, Shlipak MG, Garg AX, Parikh CR. Long-term risk of mortality and other adverse outcomes after acute kidney injury: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Am J Kidney Dis. 2009;53(6):961–73.CrossRef
9.
go back to reference Mesropian PD, Othersen J, Mason D, Wang J, Asif A, Mathew RO. Community-acquired acute kidney injury: a challenge and opportunity for primary care in kidney health. Nephrology (Carlton). 2016;21(9):729–35.CrossRef Mesropian PD, Othersen J, Mason D, Wang J, Asif A, Mathew RO. Community-acquired acute kidney injury: a challenge and opportunity for primary care in kidney health. Nephrology (Carlton). 2016;21(9):729–35.CrossRef
10.
go back to reference Huang L, Xue C, Kuai J, Ruan M, Yang B, Chen X, et al. Clinical characteristics and outcomes of community-acquired versus hospital-acquired acute kidney injury: a meta-analysis. Kidney Blood Press Res. 2019;44(5):879–96.CrossRef Huang L, Xue C, Kuai J, Ruan M, Yang B, Chen X, et al. Clinical characteristics and outcomes of community-acquired versus hospital-acquired acute kidney injury: a meta-analysis. Kidney Blood Press Res. 2019;44(5):879–96.CrossRef
12.
go back to reference Chawla LS, Bellomo R, Bihorac A, Goldstein SL, Siew ED, Bagshaw SM, et al. Acute kidney disease and renal recovery: consensus report of the Acute Disease Quality Initiative (ADQI) 16 Workgroup. Nat Rev Nephrol. 2017;13(4):241–57.CrossRef Chawla LS, Bellomo R, Bihorac A, Goldstein SL, Siew ED, Bagshaw SM, et al. Acute kidney disease and renal recovery: consensus report of the Acute Disease Quality Initiative (ADQI) 16 Workgroup. Nat Rev Nephrol. 2017;13(4):241–57.CrossRef
13.
go back to reference Takaori K, Yanagita M. Insights into the mechanisms of the acute kidney injury-to-chronic kidney disease continuum. Nephron. 2016;134(3):172–6.CrossRef Takaori K, Yanagita M. Insights into the mechanisms of the acute kidney injury-to-chronic kidney disease continuum. Nephron. 2016;134(3):172–6.CrossRef
14.
go back to reference Chou YH, Huang TM, Chu TS. Novel insights into acute kidney injury-chronic kidney disease continuum and the role of renin-angiotensin system. J Formos Med Assoc. 2017;116(9):652–9.CrossRef Chou YH, Huang TM, Chu TS. Novel insights into acute kidney injury-chronic kidney disease continuum and the role of renin-angiotensin system. J Formos Med Assoc. 2017;116(9):652–9.CrossRef
15.
go back to reference Lameire NH, Levin A, Kellum JA, Cheung M, Jadoul M, Winkelmayer WC, et al. Harmonizing acute and chronic kidney disease definition and classification: report of a Kidney Disease: Improving Global Outcomes (KDIGO) Consensus Conference. Kidney Int. 2021;100(3):516–26.CrossRef Lameire NH, Levin A, Kellum JA, Cheung M, Jadoul M, Winkelmayer WC, et al. Harmonizing acute and chronic kidney disease definition and classification: report of a Kidney Disease: Improving Global Outcomes (KDIGO) Consensus Conference. Kidney Int. 2021;100(3):516–26.CrossRef
20.
go back to reference Quan H, Sundararajan V, Halfon P, Fong A, Burnand B, Luthi JC, et al. Coding algorithms for defining comorbidities in ICD-9-CM and ICD-10 administrative data. Med Care. 2005;43(11):1130–9.CrossRef Quan H, Sundararajan V, Halfon P, Fong A, Burnand B, Luthi JC, et al. Coding algorithms for defining comorbidities in ICD-9-CM and ICD-10 administrative data. Med Care. 2005;43(11):1130–9.CrossRef
24.
go back to reference Levey AS, Eckardt KU, Tsukamoto Y, Levin A, Coresh J, Rossert J, et al. Definition and classification of chronic kidney disease: a position statement from Kidney Disease: Improving Global Outcomes (KDIGO). Kidney Int. 2005;67(6):2089–100.CrossRef Levey AS, Eckardt KU, Tsukamoto Y, Levin A, Coresh J, Rossert J, et al. Definition and classification of chronic kidney disease: a position statement from Kidney Disease: Improving Global Outcomes (KDIGO). Kidney Int. 2005;67(6):2089–100.CrossRef
25.
go back to reference Levey AS, Stevens LA, Schmid CH, Zhang YL, Castro AF 3rd, Feldman HI, et al. A new equation to estimate glomerular filtration rate. Ann Intern Med. 2009;150(9):604–12.CrossRef Levey AS, Stevens LA, Schmid CH, Zhang YL, Castro AF 3rd, Feldman HI, et al. A new equation to estimate glomerular filtration rate. Ann Intern Med. 2009;150(9):604–12.CrossRef
26.
go back to reference Sawhney S, Marks A, Fluck N, Levin A, Prescott G, Black C. Intermediate and long-term outcomes of survivors of acute kidney injury episodes: a large population-based cohort study. Am J Kidney Dis. 2017;69(1):18–28.CrossRef Sawhney S, Marks A, Fluck N, Levin A, Prescott G, Black C. Intermediate and long-term outcomes of survivors of acute kidney injury episodes: a large population-based cohort study. Am J Kidney Dis. 2017;69(1):18–28.CrossRef
27.
go back to reference Eilers PH, Marx BD. Flexible smoothing with B-splines and penalties. Stat Sci. 1996;11(2):89–121.CrossRef Eilers PH, Marx BD. Flexible smoothing with B-splines and penalties. Stat Sci. 1996;11(2):89–121.CrossRef
28.
go back to reference Roshani D, Ghaderi E. Comparing smoothing techniques for fitting the nonlinear effect of covariate in Cox models. Acta Inform Med. 2016;24(1):38–41.CrossRef Roshani D, Ghaderi E. Comparing smoothing techniques for fitting the nonlinear effect of covariate in Cox models. Acta Inform Med. 2016;24(1):38–41.CrossRef
29.
go back to reference Malloy EJ, Spiegelman D, Eisen EA. Comparing measures of model selection for penalized splines in Cox models. Comput Stat Data Anal. 2009;53(7):2605–16.CrossRef Malloy EJ, Spiegelman D, Eisen EA. Comparing measures of model selection for penalized splines in Cox models. Comput Stat Data Anal. 2009;53(7):2605–16.CrossRef
30.
go back to reference Aiyegbusi O, Witham MD, Lim M, Gauld G, Bell S. Impact of introducing electronic acute kidney injury alerts in primary care. Clin Kidney J. 2019;12(2):253–7.CrossRef Aiyegbusi O, Witham MD, Lim M, Gauld G, Bell S. Impact of introducing electronic acute kidney injury alerts in primary care. Clin Kidney J. 2019;12(2):253–7.CrossRef
31.
go back to reference Lee BJ, Hsu CY, Parikh R, McCulloch CE, Tan TC, Liu KD, et al. Predicting renal recovery after dialysis-requiring acute kidney injury. Kidney Int Rep. 2019;4(4):571–81.CrossRef Lee BJ, Hsu CY, Parikh R, McCulloch CE, Tan TC, Liu KD, et al. Predicting renal recovery after dialysis-requiring acute kidney injury. Kidney Int Rep. 2019;4(4):571–81.CrossRef
32.
go back to reference Jones M, Tomson C. Acute kidney injury and ‘nephrotoxins’: mind your language. Clin Med (Lond). 2018;18(5):384–6.CrossRef Jones M, Tomson C. Acute kidney injury and ‘nephrotoxins’: mind your language. Clin Med (Lond). 2018;18(5):384–6.CrossRef
33.
go back to reference Tomson C, Tomlinson LA. Stopping RAS inhibitors to minimize AKI: more harm than good? Clin J Am Soc Nephrol. 2019;14(4):617–9.CrossRef Tomson C, Tomlinson LA. Stopping RAS inhibitors to minimize AKI: more harm than good? Clin J Am Soc Nephrol. 2019;14(4):617–9.CrossRef
34.
go back to reference Palevsky PM, Zhang JH, Seliger SL, Emanuele N, Fried LF, Study VN-D. Incidence, severity, and outcomes of AKI associated with dual renin-angiotensin system blockade. Clin J Am Soc Nephrol. 2016;11(11):1944–53.CrossRef Palevsky PM, Zhang JH, Seliger SL, Emanuele N, Fried LF, Study VN-D. Incidence, severity, and outcomes of AKI associated with dual renin-angiotensin system blockade. Clin J Am Soc Nephrol. 2016;11(11):1944–53.CrossRef
35.
go back to reference Gayat E, Hollinger A, Cariou A, Deye N, Vieillard-Baron A, Jaber S, et al. Impact of angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors or receptor blockers on post-ICU discharge outcome in patients with acute kidney injury. Intensive Care Med. 2018;44(5):598–605.CrossRef Gayat E, Hollinger A, Cariou A, Deye N, Vieillard-Baron A, Jaber S, et al. Impact of angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors or receptor blockers on post-ICU discharge outcome in patients with acute kidney injury. Intensive Care Med. 2018;44(5):598–605.CrossRef
36.
go back to reference Zhang X, Donnan PT, Bell S, Guthrie B. Non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drug induced acute kidney injury in the community dwelling general population and people with chronic kidney disease: systematic review and meta-analysis. BMC Nephrol. 2017;18(1):256.CrossRef Zhang X, Donnan PT, Bell S, Guthrie B. Non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drug induced acute kidney injury in the community dwelling general population and people with chronic kidney disease: systematic review and meta-analysis. BMC Nephrol. 2017;18(1):256.CrossRef
37.
go back to reference Whelton A. Nephrotoxicity of nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs: physiologic foundations and clinical implications. Am J Med. 1999;106(5B):13S–24S.CrossRef Whelton A. Nephrotoxicity of nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs: physiologic foundations and clinical implications. Am J Med. 1999;106(5B):13S–24S.CrossRef
38.
go back to reference Bell S, Farran B, McGurnaghan S, McCrimmon RJ, Leese GP, Petrie JR, et al. Risk of acute kidney injury and survival in patients treated with Metformin: an observational cohort study. BMC Nephrol. 2017;18(1):163.CrossRef Bell S, Farran B, McGurnaghan S, McCrimmon RJ, Leese GP, Petrie JR, et al. Risk of acute kidney injury and survival in patients treated with Metformin: an observational cohort study. BMC Nephrol. 2017;18(1):163.CrossRef
39.
go back to reference Yang Q, Zheng J, Wen D, Chen X, Chen W, Chen W, et al. Association between metformin use on admission and outcomes in intensive care unit patients with acute kidney injury and type 2 diabetes: a retrospective cohort study. J Crit Care. 2021;62:206–11.CrossRef Yang Q, Zheng J, Wen D, Chen X, Chen W, Chen W, et al. Association between metformin use on admission and outcomes in intensive care unit patients with acute kidney injury and type 2 diabetes: a retrospective cohort study. J Crit Care. 2021;62:206–11.CrossRef
40.
go back to reference Matsuura R, Iwagami M, Moriya H, Ohtake T, Hamasaki Y, Nangaku M, et al. The clinical course of acute kidney disease after cardiac surgery: a retrospective observational study. Sci Rep. 2020;10(1):6490.CrossRef Matsuura R, Iwagami M, Moriya H, Ohtake T, Hamasaki Y, Nangaku M, et al. The clinical course of acute kidney disease after cardiac surgery: a retrospective observational study. Sci Rep. 2020;10(1):6490.CrossRef
41.
go back to reference Chen JJ, Lee TH, Kuo G, Yen CL, Chen SW, Chu PH, et al. Acute kidney disease after acute decompensated heart failure. Kidney Int Rep. 2022;7(3):526–36.CrossRef Chen JJ, Lee TH, Kuo G, Yen CL, Chen SW, Chu PH, et al. Acute kidney disease after acute decompensated heart failure. Kidney Int Rep. 2022;7(3):526–36.CrossRef
42.
go back to reference Peerapornratana S, Priyanka P, Wang S, Smith A, Singbartl K, Palevsky PM, et al. Sepsis-associated acute kidney disease. Kidney Int Rep. 2020;5(6):839–50.CrossRef Peerapornratana S, Priyanka P, Wang S, Smith A, Singbartl K, Palevsky PM, et al. Sepsis-associated acute kidney disease. Kidney Int Rep. 2020;5(6):839–50.CrossRef
43.
go back to reference Siew ED, Abdel-Kader K, Perkins AM, Greevy RA Jr, Parr SK, Horner J, et al. Timing of recovery from moderate to severe AKI and the risk for future loss of kidney function. Am J Kidney Dis. 2020;75(2):204–13.CrossRef Siew ED, Abdel-Kader K, Perkins AM, Greevy RA Jr, Parr SK, Horner J, et al. Timing of recovery from moderate to severe AKI and the risk for future loss of kidney function. Am J Kidney Dis. 2020;75(2):204–13.CrossRef
44.
go back to reference Bhatraju PK, Zelnick LR, Chinchilli VM, Moledina DG, Coca SG, Parikh CR, et al. Association between early recovery of kidney function after acute kidney injury and long-term clinical outcomes. JAMA Netw Open. 2020;3(4):e202682.CrossRef Bhatraju PK, Zelnick LR, Chinchilli VM, Moledina DG, Coca SG, Parikh CR, et al. Association between early recovery of kidney function after acute kidney injury and long-term clinical outcomes. JAMA Netw Open. 2020;3(4):e202682.CrossRef
45.
46.
go back to reference Tan HL, Yap JQ, Qian Q. Acute kidney injury: tubular markers and risk for chronic kidney disease and end-stage kidney failure. Blood Purif. 2016;41(1-3):144–50.CrossRef Tan HL, Yap JQ, Qian Q. Acute kidney injury: tubular markers and risk for chronic kidney disease and end-stage kidney failure. Blood Purif. 2016;41(1-3):144–50.CrossRef
47.
go back to reference James MT, Levey AS, Tonelli M, Tan Z, Barry R, Pannu N, et al. Incidence and prognosis of acute kidney diseases and disorders using an integrated approach to laboratory measurements in a universal health care system. JAMA Network Open. 2019;2(4):e191795.CrossRef James MT, Levey AS, Tonelli M, Tan Z, Barry R, Pannu N, et al. Incidence and prognosis of acute kidney diseases and disorders using an integrated approach to laboratory measurements in a universal health care system. JAMA Network Open. 2019;2(4):e191795.CrossRef
Metadata
Title
Patient outcomes following AKI and AKD: a population-based cohort study
Authors
Huan Wang
Emilie Lambourg
Bruce Guthrie
Daniel R. Morales
Peter T. Donnan
Samira Bell
Publication date
01-12-2022
Publisher
BioMed Central
Published in
BMC Medicine / Issue 1/2022
Electronic ISSN: 1741-7015
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1186/s12916-022-02428-8

Other articles of this Issue 1/2022

BMC Medicine 1/2022 Go to the issue