Skip to main content
Top
Published in:

Open Access 01-12-2024 | Research

Influence of impaired glucose tolerance and type 2 diabetes on the multimorbidity cluster of cardiovascular disease and cancer: a post hoc analysis of the Da Qing Diabetes Prevention Outcome Study

Authors: Fei Chen, Jinping Wang, Siyao He, Yifan He, Yali An, Qiuhong Gong, Xiaoping Chen, Ying Shuai, Xuan Wang, Yanyan Chen, Bo Zhang, Guangwei Li

Published in: BMC Medicine | Issue 1/2024

Login to get access

Abstract

Background

This study explored the influence of type 2 diabetes and impaired glucose tolerance (IGT) on the risk of the multimorbidity cluster of cardiovascular disease (CVD) and cancer.

Methods

A total of 1629 participants in the Da Qing Diabetes Prevention Outcome Study were recruited in the present analysis, including normal glucose tolerance (NGT, N = 492), IGT (N = 540), and newly diagnosed type 2 diabetes (N = 597) groups. Cox proportional hazards analyses were performed to assess the relationship between NGT, IGT, and newly diagnosed type 2 diabetes and the risk of the multimorbidity cluster of CVD and cancer.

Results

The incidence rates for multimorbidity cluster CVD and cancer were 1.25, 3.17, and 3.23 per 1000 person-years in people with NGT, IGT, and the newly diagnosed type 2 diabetes groups, respectively, over 34-year follow-up. Cox analysis revealed that diabetes status (as time-dependent variable) was significantly associated with the subsequent increased risk of multimorbidity cluster of CVD and cancer compared with non-diabetes (hazard ratios [HR] = 2.55, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.51–4.31) after adjustment of potential confounders. Similar analysis showed that this risk was significantly higher in the IGT and newly diagnosed type 2 diabetes groups compared with NGT, with HR of 3.28 (95% CI 1.83–5.87) and HR of 3.90 (95% CI 2.14–7.09), respectively. Whereas compared diabetes with IGT group, this risk was not significantly different.

Conclusions

Similar to newly diagnosed type 2 diabetes, IGT is significantly associated with an increased risk of the multimorbidity cluster of CVD and cancer compared with NGT. This finding highlights the urgent need for an active detection of IGT and effective prevention and management of diabetes.
Appendix
Available only for authorised users
Literature
1.
go back to reference Smith SM, Soubhi H, Fortin M, Hudon C, O’Dowd T. Managing patients with multimorbidity: systematic review of interventions in primary care and community settings. BMJ. 2012;345:e5205–e5205.CrossRefPubMedPubMedCentral Smith SM, Soubhi H, Fortin M, Hudon C, O’Dowd T. Managing patients with multimorbidity: systematic review of interventions in primary care and community settings. BMJ. 2012;345:e5205–e5205.CrossRefPubMedPubMedCentral
2.
go back to reference Vos T, Lim SS, Abbafati C, Abbas KM, Abbasi M, Abbasifard M, et al. Global burden of 369 diseases and injuries in 204 countries and territories, 1990–2019: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019. The Lancet. 2020;396:1204–22.CrossRef Vos T, Lim SS, Abbafati C, Abbas KM, Abbasi M, Abbasifard M, et al. Global burden of 369 diseases and injuries in 204 countries and territories, 1990–2019: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019. The Lancet. 2020;396:1204–22.CrossRef
3.
go back to reference Mensah GA, Roth GA, Fuster V. The global burden of cardiovascular diseases and risk factors. J Am Coll Cardiol. 2019;74:2529–32.CrossRefPubMed Mensah GA, Roth GA, Fuster V. The global burden of cardiovascular diseases and risk factors. J Am Coll Cardiol. 2019;74:2529–32.CrossRefPubMed
4.
go back to reference Liu S, Li Y, Zeng X, Wang H, Yin P, Wang L, et al. Burden of cardiovascular diseases in China, 1990–2016: findings from the 2016 Global Burden of Disease Study. JAMA Cardiol. 2019;4:342.CrossRefPubMedPubMedCentral Liu S, Li Y, Zeng X, Wang H, Yin P, Wang L, et al. Burden of cardiovascular diseases in China, 1990–2016: findings from the 2016 Global Burden of Disease Study. JAMA Cardiol. 2019;4:342.CrossRefPubMedPubMedCentral
5.
go back to reference Xia C, Dong X, Li H, Cao M, Sun D, He S, et al. Cancer statistics in China and United States, 2022: profiles, trends, and determinants. Chin Med J (Engl). 2022;135:584–90.CrossRefPubMed Xia C, Dong X, Li H, Cao M, Sun D, He S, et al. Cancer statistics in China and United States, 2022: profiles, trends, and determinants. Chin Med J (Engl). 2022;135:584–90.CrossRefPubMed
6.
go back to reference He S, Xia C, Li H, Cao M, Yang F, Yan X, et al. Cancer profiles in China and comparisons with the USA: a comprehensive analysis in the incidence, mortality, survival, staging, and attribution to risk factors. Sci China Life Sci. 2024;67:122–31.CrossRefPubMed He S, Xia C, Li H, Cao M, Yang F, Yan X, et al. Cancer profiles in China and comparisons with the USA: a comprehensive analysis in the incidence, mortality, survival, staging, and attribution to risk factors. Sci China Life Sci. 2024;67:122–31.CrossRefPubMed
7.
go back to reference Low LL, Kwan YH, Ko MSM, Yeam CT, Lee VSY, Tan WB, et al. Epidemiologic characteristics of multimorbidity and sociodemographic factors associated with multimorbidity in a rapidly aging Asian country. JAMA Netw Open. 2019;2: e1915245.CrossRefPubMedPubMedCentral Low LL, Kwan YH, Ko MSM, Yeam CT, Lee VSY, Tan WB, et al. Epidemiologic characteristics of multimorbidity and sociodemographic factors associated with multimorbidity in a rapidly aging Asian country. JAMA Netw Open. 2019;2: e1915245.CrossRefPubMedPubMedCentral
8.
go back to reference Wolff JL, Starfield B, Anderson G. Prevalence, expenditures, and complications of multiple chronic conditions in the elderly. Arch Intern Med. 2002;162:2269.CrossRefPubMed Wolff JL, Starfield B, Anderson G. Prevalence, expenditures, and complications of multiple chronic conditions in the elderly. Arch Intern Med. 2002;162:2269.CrossRefPubMed
9.
go back to reference Salisbury C, Johnson L, Purdy S, Valderas JM, Montgomery AA. Epidemiology and impact of multimorbidity in primary care: a retrospective cohort study. Br J Gen Pract. 2011;61:e12-21.CrossRefPubMed Salisbury C, Johnson L, Purdy S, Valderas JM, Montgomery AA. Epidemiology and impact of multimorbidity in primary care: a retrospective cohort study. Br J Gen Pract. 2011;61:e12-21.CrossRefPubMed
10.
go back to reference Pan X-R, Yang W-Y, Li G-W, Liu J, National Diabetes Prevention and Control Cooperative Group. Prevalence of diabetes and its risk factors in China, 1994. Diabetes Care. 1997;20:1664–9. Pan X-R, Yang W-Y, Li G-W, Liu J, National Diabetes Prevention and Control Cooperative Group. Prevalence of diabetes and its risk factors in China, 1994. Diabetes Care. 1997;20:1664–9.
11.
go back to reference Wenying Y, Juming L, Jianping W, Weiping J, Linong J, Jianzhong X, et al. Prevalence of diabetes among men and women in China. N Engl J Med. 2010;362:1090–101.CrossRef Wenying Y, Juming L, Jianping W, Weiping J, Linong J, Jianzhong X, et al. Prevalence of diabetes among men and women in China. N Engl J Med. 2010;362:1090–101.CrossRef
13.
go back to reference Wang L, Gao P, Zhang M, Huang Z, Zhang D, Deng Q, et al. Prevalence and ethnic pattern of diabetes and prediabetes in China in 2013. JAMA. 2017;317:2515.CrossRefPubMedPubMedCentral Wang L, Gao P, Zhang M, Huang Z, Zhang D, Deng Q, et al. Prevalence and ethnic pattern of diabetes and prediabetes in China in 2013. JAMA. 2017;317:2515.CrossRefPubMedPubMedCentral
14.
15.
go back to reference Ballotari P, Vicentini M, Manicardi V, Gallo M, Chiatamone Ranieri S, Greci M, et al. Diabetes and risk of cancer incidence: results from a population-based cohort study in northern Italy. BMC Cancer. 2017;17:703.CrossRefPubMedPubMedCentral Ballotari P, Vicentini M, Manicardi V, Gallo M, Chiatamone Ranieri S, Greci M, et al. Diabetes and risk of cancer incidence: results from a population-based cohort study in northern Italy. BMC Cancer. 2017;17:703.CrossRefPubMedPubMedCentral
16.
go back to reference Tsilidis KK, Kasimis JC, Lopez DS, Ntzani EE, Ioannidis JPA. Type 2 diabetes and cancer: umbrella review of meta-analyses of observational studies. BMJ. 2015;350: g7607.CrossRefPubMed Tsilidis KK, Kasimis JC, Lopez DS, Ntzani EE, Ioannidis JPA. Type 2 diabetes and cancer: umbrella review of meta-analyses of observational studies. BMJ. 2015;350: g7607.CrossRefPubMed
17.
go back to reference Giovannucci E, Harlan DM, Archer MC, Bergenstal RM, Gapstur SM, Habel LA, et al. Diabetes and cancer: a consensus report. CA Cancer J Clin. 2010;60:207–21.CrossRefPubMed Giovannucci E, Harlan DM, Archer MC, Bergenstal RM, Gapstur SM, Habel LA, et al. Diabetes and cancer: a consensus report. CA Cancer J Clin. 2010;60:207–21.CrossRefPubMed
18.
go back to reference Gong Q, Zhang P, Wang J, Ma J, An Y, Chen Y, et al. Morbidity and mortality after lifestyle intervention for people with impaired glucose tolerance: 30-year results of the Da Qing Diabetes Prevention Outcome Study. Lancet Diabetes Endocrinol. 2019;7:452–61.CrossRefPubMedPubMedCentral Gong Q, Zhang P, Wang J, Ma J, An Y, Chen Y, et al. Morbidity and mortality after lifestyle intervention for people with impaired glucose tolerance: 30-year results of the Da Qing Diabetes Prevention Outcome Study. Lancet Diabetes Endocrinol. 2019;7:452–61.CrossRefPubMedPubMedCentral
19.
go back to reference Chen Y, Zhang P, Wang J, Gong Q, An Y, Qian X, et al. Associations of progression to diabetes and regression to normal glucose tolerance with development of cardiovascular and microvascular disease among people with impaired glucose tolerance: a secondary analysis of the 30 year Da Qing Diabetes Prevention Outcome Study. Diabetologia. 2021;64:1279–87.CrossRefPubMed Chen Y, Zhang P, Wang J, Gong Q, An Y, Qian X, et al. Associations of progression to diabetes and regression to normal glucose tolerance with development of cardiovascular and microvascular disease among people with impaired glucose tolerance: a secondary analysis of the 30 year Da Qing Diabetes Prevention Outcome Study. Diabetologia. 2021;64:1279–87.CrossRefPubMed
20.
go back to reference An Y, Zhang P, Wang J, Gong Q, Gregg EW, Yang W, et al. Cardiovascular and all-cause mortality over a 23-year period among chinese with newly diagnosed diabetes in the Da Qing IGT and Diabetes Study. Diabetes Care. 2015;38:1365–71.CrossRefPubMedPubMedCentral An Y, Zhang P, Wang J, Gong Q, Gregg EW, Yang W, et al. Cardiovascular and all-cause mortality over a 23-year period among chinese with newly diagnosed diabetes in the Da Qing IGT and Diabetes Study. Diabetes Care. 2015;38:1365–71.CrossRefPubMedPubMedCentral
21.
go back to reference WHO Consultation. diabetes_mellitus_1985.pdf. WHO. 1985. WHO Consultation. diabetes_mellitus_1985.pdf. WHO. 1985.
22.
go back to reference Freisling H, Viallon V, Lennon H, Bagnardi V, Ricci C, Butterworth AS, et al. Lifestyle factors and risk of multimorbidity of cancer and cardiometabolic diseases: a multinational cohort study. BMC Med. 2020;18:5.CrossRefPubMedPubMedCentral Freisling H, Viallon V, Lennon H, Bagnardi V, Ricci C, Butterworth AS, et al. Lifestyle factors and risk of multimorbidity of cancer and cardiometabolic diseases: a multinational cohort study. BMC Med. 2020;18:5.CrossRefPubMedPubMedCentral
23.
go back to reference Chang W-C, Hsieh T-C, Hsu W-L, Chang F-L, Tsai H-R, He M-S. Diabetes and further risk of cancer: a nationwide population-based study. BMC Med. 2024;22:214.CrossRefPubMedPubMedCentral Chang W-C, Hsieh T-C, Hsu W-L, Chang F-L, Tsai H-R, He M-S. Diabetes and further risk of cancer: a nationwide population-based study. BMC Med. 2024;22:214.CrossRefPubMedPubMedCentral
24.
go back to reference Lin DY, Wei LJ, Ying Z. Checking the Cox model with cumulative sums of martingale-based residuals. Biometrika. 1993;80:557–72.CrossRef Lin DY, Wei LJ, Ying Z. Checking the Cox model with cumulative sums of martingale-based residuals. Biometrika. 1993;80:557–72.CrossRef
25.
go back to reference Ma C-X, Ma X-N, Guan C-H, Li Y-D, Mauricio D, Fu S-B. Cardiovascular disease in type 2 diabetes mellitus: progress toward personalized management. Cardiovasc Diabetol. 2022;21:74.CrossRefPubMedPubMedCentral Ma C-X, Ma X-N, Guan C-H, Li Y-D, Mauricio D, Fu S-B. Cardiovascular disease in type 2 diabetes mellitus: progress toward personalized management. Cardiovasc Diabetol. 2022;21:74.CrossRefPubMedPubMedCentral
26.
go back to reference Wong ND, Sattar N. Cardiovascular risk in diabetes mellitus: epidemiology, assessment and prevention. Nat Rev Cardiol. 2023;20:685–95.CrossRefPubMed Wong ND, Sattar N. Cardiovascular risk in diabetes mellitus: epidemiology, assessment and prevention. Nat Rev Cardiol. 2023;20:685–95.CrossRefPubMed
27.
go back to reference Pearson-Stuttard J, Papadimitriou N, Markozannes G, Cividini S, Kakourou A, Gill D, et al. Type 2 diabetes and cancer: an umbrella review of observational and Mendelian randomization studies. Cancer Epidemiol Biomarkers Prev. 2021;30:1218–28.CrossRefPubMedPubMedCentral Pearson-Stuttard J, Papadimitriou N, Markozannes G, Cividini S, Kakourou A, Gill D, et al. Type 2 diabetes and cancer: an umbrella review of observational and Mendelian randomization studies. Cancer Epidemiol Biomarkers Prev. 2021;30:1218–28.CrossRefPubMedPubMedCentral
28.
go back to reference The DECODE Study Group, on behalf of the European Diabetes Epidemiology Group. Is the current definition for diabetes relevant to mortality risk from all causes and cardiovascular and noncardiovascular diseases? Diabetes Care. 2003;26:688–96. The DECODE Study Group, on behalf of the European Diabetes Epidemiology Group. Is the current definition for diabetes relevant to mortality risk from all causes and cardiovascular and noncardiovascular diseases? Diabetes Care. 2003;26:688–96.
29.
go back to reference Nakagami T, Qiao Q, Tuomilehto J, Balkau B, Tajima N, Hu G, et al. Screen-detected diabetes, hypertension and hypercholesterolemia as predictors of cardiovascular mortality in five populations of Asian origin: the DECODA study. Eur J Cardiovasc Prev Rehabil. 2006;13:555–61.CrossRefPubMed Nakagami T, Qiao Q, Tuomilehto J, Balkau B, Tajima N, Hu G, et al. Screen-detected diabetes, hypertension and hypercholesterolemia as predictors of cardiovascular mortality in five populations of Asian origin: the DECODA study. Eur J Cardiovasc Prev Rehabil. 2006;13:555–61.CrossRefPubMed
30.
go back to reference for the DECODE Study Group, Zhou XH, Qiao Q, Zethelius B, Pyörälä K, Söderberg S, et al. Diabetes, prediabetes and cancer mortality. Diabetologia. 2010;53:1867–76. for the DECODE Study Group, Zhou XH, Qiao Q, Zethelius B, Pyörälä K, Söderberg S, et al. Diabetes, prediabetes and cancer mortality. Diabetologia. 2010;53:1867–76.
31.
go back to reference Oh S, Lee J, Hong YS, Kim K. Increased risk of cardiovascular disease associated with diabetes among adult cancer survivors: a population-based matched cohort study. Eur J Prev Cardiol. 2023;30:zwad046. Oh S, Lee J, Hong YS, Kim K. Increased risk of cardiovascular disease associated with diabetes among adult cancer survivors: a population-based matched cohort study. Eur J Prev Cardiol. 2023;30:zwad046.
32.
go back to reference Cordova R, Viallon V, Fontvieille E, Peruchet-Noray L, Jansana A, Wagner K-H, et al. Consumption of ultra-processed foods and risk of multimorbidity of cancer and cardiometabolic diseases: a multinational cohort study. Lancet Reg Health - Eur. 2023;35: 100771.CrossRefPubMedPubMedCentral Cordova R, Viallon V, Fontvieille E, Peruchet-Noray L, Jansana A, Wagner K-H, et al. Consumption of ultra-processed foods and risk of multimorbidity of cancer and cardiometabolic diseases: a multinational cohort study. Lancet Reg Health - Eur. 2023;35: 100771.CrossRefPubMedPubMedCentral
33.
go back to reference Narayan KMV, Kondal D, Chang HH, Mohan D, Gujral UP, Anjana RM, et al. Natural history of type 2 diabetes in Indians: time to progression. Diabetes Care. 2024;47:858–63.CrossRefPubMedPubMedCentral Narayan KMV, Kondal D, Chang HH, Mohan D, Gujral UP, Anjana RM, et al. Natural history of type 2 diabetes in Indians: time to progression. Diabetes Care. 2024;47:858–63.CrossRefPubMedPubMedCentral
34.
go back to reference Zhang L, Zhang Y, Shen S, Wang X, Dong L, Li Q, et al. Safety and effectiveness of metformin plus lifestyle intervention compared with lifestyle intervention alone in preventing progression to diabetes in a Chinese population with impaired glucose regulation: a multicentre, open-label, randomised controlled trial. Lancet Diabetes Endocrinol. 2023;11:567–77.CrossRefPubMed Zhang L, Zhang Y, Shen S, Wang X, Dong L, Li Q, et al. Safety and effectiveness of metformin plus lifestyle intervention compared with lifestyle intervention alone in preventing progression to diabetes in a Chinese population with impaired glucose regulation: a multicentre, open-label, randomised controlled trial. Lancet Diabetes Endocrinol. 2023;11:567–77.CrossRefPubMed
36.
go back to reference Grundy SM. Pre-diabetes, metabolic syndrome, and cardiovascular risk. J Am Coll Cardiol. 2012;59:635–43.CrossRefPubMed Grundy SM. Pre-diabetes, metabolic syndrome, and cardiovascular risk. J Am Coll Cardiol. 2012;59:635–43.CrossRefPubMed
37.
go back to reference Huang Y, Cai X, Qiu M, Chen P, Tang H, Hu Y, et al. Prediabetes and the risk of cancer: a meta-analysis. Diabetologia. 2014;57:2261–9.CrossRefPubMed Huang Y, Cai X, Qiu M, Chen P, Tang H, Hu Y, et al. Prediabetes and the risk of cancer: a meta-analysis. Diabetologia. 2014;57:2261–9.CrossRefPubMed
41.
go back to reference De Boer RA, Meijers WC, Van Der Meer P, Van Veldhuisen DJ. Cancer and heart disease: associations and relations. Eur J Heart Fail. 2019;21:1515–25.CrossRefPubMed De Boer RA, Meijers WC, Van Der Meer P, Van Veldhuisen DJ. Cancer and heart disease: associations and relations. Eur J Heart Fail. 2019;21:1515–25.CrossRefPubMed
42.
go back to reference Petrie JR, Guzik TJ, Touyz RM. Diabetes, hypertension, and cardiovascular disease: clinical insights and vascular mechanisms. Can J Cardiol. 2018;34:575–84.CrossRefPubMed Petrie JR, Guzik TJ, Touyz RM. Diabetes, hypertension, and cardiovascular disease: clinical insights and vascular mechanisms. Can J Cardiol. 2018;34:575–84.CrossRefPubMed
43.
go back to reference Dokken BB. The pathophysiology of cardiovascular disease and diabetes: beyond blood pressure and lipids. Diabetes Spectr. 2008;21:160–5.CrossRef Dokken BB. The pathophysiology of cardiovascular disease and diabetes: beyond blood pressure and lipids. Diabetes Spectr. 2008;21:160–5.CrossRef
44.
go back to reference Ormazabal V, Nair S, Elfeky O, Aguayo C, Salomon C, Zuñiga FA. Association between insulin resistance and the development of cardiovascular disease. Cardiovasc Diabetol. 2018;17:122.CrossRefPubMedPubMedCentral Ormazabal V, Nair S, Elfeky O, Aguayo C, Salomon C, Zuñiga FA. Association between insulin resistance and the development of cardiovascular disease. Cardiovasc Diabetol. 2018;17:122.CrossRefPubMedPubMedCentral
Metadata
Title
Influence of impaired glucose tolerance and type 2 diabetes on the multimorbidity cluster of cardiovascular disease and cancer: a post hoc analysis of the Da Qing Diabetes Prevention Outcome Study
Authors
Fei Chen
Jinping Wang
Siyao He
Yifan He
Yali An
Qiuhong Gong
Xiaoping Chen
Ying Shuai
Xuan Wang
Yanyan Chen
Bo Zhang
Guangwei Li
Publication date
01-12-2024
Publisher
BioMed Central
Published in
BMC Medicine / Issue 1/2024
Electronic ISSN: 1741-7015
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1186/s12916-024-03749-6

Keynote webinar | Spotlight on adolescent vaping

  • Live
  • Webinar | 29-01-2025 | 18:00 (CET)

Growing numbers of young people are using e-cigarettes, despite warnings of respiratory effects and addiction. How can doctors tackle the epidemic, and what health effects should you prepare to manage in your clinics?

Watch it live: Wednesday 29th January, 18:00-19:30 CET
 

Prof. Ann McNeill
Dr. Debbie Robson
Benji Horwell
Developed by: Springer Medicine
Join the webinar

At a glance: The STEP trials

A round-up of the STEP phase 3 clinical trials evaluating semaglutide for weight loss in people with overweight or obesity.

Developed by: Springer Medicine
Read more